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Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$109,005 Vol.

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

25°C <1%

Polymarket

$109,005 Vol.

22°C

$9,491 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$5,414 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$7,223 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$6,048 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$7,301 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$8,318 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$5,152 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$4,518 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$4,869 Vol.

<1%

31°C or higher

$35,268 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirms Taipei's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, peaked at 21°C or below at the reference station, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a potent cold air mass and frontal passage strengthening the northeast monsoon, which brought cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and suppressed daytime heating in northern Taiwan—aligning precisely with pre-event CWA forecasts of 18-21°C highs. Historical March patterns show Taipei averages around 21-23°C, with such cool snaps common during seasonal shifts from winter monsoons. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from equipment calibration or station anomalies, though official measurements carry authoritative weight for market settlement.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirms Taipei's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, peaked at 21°C or below at the reference station, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a potent cold air mass and frontal passage strengthening the northeast monsoon, which brought cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and suppressed daytime heating in northern Taiwan—aligning precisely with pre-event CWA forecasts of 18-21°C highs. Historical March patterns show Taipei averages around 21-23°C, with such cool snaps common during seasonal shifts from winter monsoons. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from equipment calibration or station anomalies, though official measurements carry authoritative weight for market settlement.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirms Taipei's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, peaked at 21°C or below at the reference station, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a potent cold air mass and frontal passage strengthening the northeast monsoon, which brought cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and suppressed daytime heating in northern Taiwan—aligning precisely with pre-event CWA forecasts of 18-21°C highs. Historical March patterns show Taipei averages around 21-23°C, with such cool snaps common during seasonal shifts from winter monsoons. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from equipment calibration or station anomalies, though official measurements carry authoritative weight for market settlement.

Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data confirms Taipei's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, peaked at 21°C or below at the reference station, locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome as the market nears resolution. This positioning stems from a potent cold air mass and frontal passage strengthening the northeast monsoon, which brought cloudy conditions, scattered showers, and suppressed daytime heating in northern Taiwan—aligning precisely with pre-event CWA forecasts of 18-21°C highs. Historical March patterns show Taipei averages around 21-23°C, with such cool snaps common during seasonal shifts from winter monsoons. Realistic challenges include rare CWA data revisions from equipment calibration or station anomalies, though official measurements carry authoritative weight for market settlement.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "21°C or below" at 100%, followed by "22°C" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" has generated $109K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" is "21°C or below" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "22°C" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.