Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Taipei on April 5, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime peaks of 27-28°C at Songshan Airport amid rebounding temperatures following recent frontal passages and light showers in northern Taiwan. Morning observations show temperatures rising from around 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, aligning with model consensus for standard diurnal heating despite instability. April historical highs average 24°C but frequently reach 28°C in similar post-frontal setups. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain or thicker cloud cover capping peaks at 27°C or below; CWA hourly updates through evening will clarify as the market nears resolution based on official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
28°C 92.8%
29°C 3.3%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,021 Vol.
$95,021 Vol.
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
93%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 92.8%
29°C 3.3%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$95,021 Vol.
$95,021 Vol.
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
93%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
Dispute window
Final
Trader consensus assigns a 95.5% implied probability to a 28°C high in Taipei on April 5, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime peaks of 27-28°C at Songshan Airport amid rebounding temperatures following recent frontal passages and light showers in northern Taiwan. Morning observations show temperatures rising from around 20°C under mostly cloudy skies with a 30% precipitation chance, aligning with model consensus for standard diurnal heating despite instability. April historical highs average 24°C but frequently reach 28°C in similar post-frontal setups. Realistic challenges include prolonged heavy rain or thicker cloud cover capping peaks at 27°C or below; CWA hourly updates through evening will clarify as the market nears resolution based on official station data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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