Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service indicate a high of 33°C on March 26, driving the market's 59% implied probability for that outcome as traders anchor to official projections amid stable fair-weather conditions. The city-state's equatorial climate and urban heat island effect typically yield March highs averaging 32-33°C, with low humidity and light winds enhancing daytime peaks, as seen in recent days topping 34°C. Historical data for late March shows rare extremes beyond 35°C, positioning 32°C (25.5%) and 34°C (10.5%) as viable alternatives if cloud cover varies. No tropical disturbances threaten, but minor model divergences could shift odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 26?
33°C 56%
32°C 24%
34°C 14%
31°C 6.1%
$54,529 Vol.
$54,529 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
24%
33°C
56%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 56%
32°C 24%
34°C 14%
31°C 6.1%
$54,529 Vol.
$54,529 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C
24%
33°C
56%
34°C
14%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service indicate a high of 33°C on March 26, driving the market's 59% implied probability for that outcome as traders anchor to official projections amid stable fair-weather conditions. The city-state's equatorial climate and urban heat island effect typically yield March highs averaging 32-33°C, with low humidity and light winds enhancing daytime peaks, as seen in recent days topping 34°C. Historical data for late March shows rare extremes beyond 35°C, positioning 32°C (25.5%) and 34°C (10.5%) as viable alternatives if cloud cover varies. No tropical disturbances threaten, but minor model divergences could shift odds before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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