Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 1, 2026, backed by real-time National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peaks around 33-34°C at key stations like Changi Meteorological Station—the likely resolution reference—amid persistent afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions. These light winds and cloud cover capped intensities below recent late-March highs of 35.4°C at Sembawang on March 30, aligning with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33-35°C during this wetter period. While climatological norms for equatorial Singapore support highs near 33°C in April, elevated baseline heat from recent ENSO-neutral transition reinforces warmth; a late-evening clear spell or measurement revision at Changi could challenge this, though probabilities for 35°C or higher remain negligible as the day progresses. Final NEA daily records expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 1?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$180,677 Vol.
$180,677 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$180,677 Vol.
$180,677 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 34°C in Singapore on April 1, 2026, backed by real-time National Environment Agency (NEA) observations showing peaks around 33-34°C at key stations like Changi Meteorological Station—the likely resolution reference—amid persistent afternoon thundery showers under emerging inter-monsoon conditions. These light winds and cloud cover capped intensities below recent late-March highs of 35.4°C at Sembawang on March 30, aligning with NEA's fortnightly outlook forecasting daily maximums of 33-35°C during this wetter period. While climatological norms for equatorial Singapore support highs near 33°C in April, elevated baseline heat from recent ENSO-neutral transition reinforces warmth; a late-evening clear spell or measurement revision at Changi could challenge this, though probabilities for 35°C or higher remain negligible as the day progresses. Final NEA daily records expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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