Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model ensembles have converged on a maximum temperature of 12°C for Seoul today, March 28, reflecting trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability amid hazy skies capping solar insolation and light southerly winds limiting warm air advection from the south. Morning observations near 5°C with 67% humidity and partial cloud cover align with this outlook, consistent with early spring climatology where March highs average 11–12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation for greater daytime heating toward 13–14°C or a stalled frontal boundary trapping warmer air, though low-probability per current guidance; monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 28?
12°C 99.2%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$522,721 Vol.
$522,721 Vol.
12°C
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.2%
13°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$522,721 Vol.
$522,721 Vol.
12°C
99%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts and global model ensembles have converged on a maximum temperature of 12°C for Seoul today, March 28, reflecting trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability amid hazy skies capping solar insolation and light southerly winds limiting warm air advection from the south. Morning observations near 5°C with 67% humidity and partial cloud cover align with this outlook, consistent with early spring climatology where March highs average 11–12°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected haze dissipation for greater daytime heating toward 13–14°C or a stalled frontal boundary trapping warmer air, though low-probability per current guidance; monitor KMA hourly updates through afternoon peak heating around 2–4 p.m. local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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