Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm the highest temperature on March 30 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with high-resolution AROME model runs and consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecasts that projected peaks of 12–14°C under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar insolation. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty at 100%, reflects verified hourly METAR data showing temperatures topping out mid-afternoon without exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-March climatological norms averaging 12°C highs amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an overlooked urban heat peak at 15°C or higher, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established stations. Final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on March 30?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 30?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$200,302 Vol.
$200,302 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$200,302 Vol.
$200,302 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 29, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Météo-France observations from Paris-Montsouris station confirm the highest temperature on March 30 reached exactly 14°C, aligning with high-resolution AROME model runs and consensus from ECMWF and GFS forecasts that projected peaks of 12–14°C under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered light showers limiting solar insolation. This trader consensus, implying near-certainty at 100%, reflects verified hourly METAR data showing temperatures topping out mid-afternoon without exceeding this threshold, consistent with late-March climatological norms averaging 12°C highs amid variable spring patterns. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision uncovering an overlooked urban heat peak at 15°C or higher, though such adjustments are exceedingly rare for established stations. Final resolution awaits Météo-France's daily bulletin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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