India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's April 4 maximum temperature at 35.6°C, slightly below normal, amid 17 mm of rainfall that cooled the region. Forecasts for April 5 predict a high around 32°C under partly cloudy skies turning rainy with thundershowers, while extended outlooks for April 3–9 indicate near-normal or below-normal maximums of 34–36°C across central Uttar Pradesh zones, with light to moderate rain likely. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorms from recent western disturbances reduce solar insolation, positioning "33°C or below" as the 49.5% market-implied frontrunner and "34°C" at 29%, reflecting trader consensus on subdued pre-monsoon heating versus historical early-April averages near 37°C. Updated IMD bulletins on April 6 could refine probabilities as the system evolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 7?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 7?
33°C or below 52%
34°C 29%
35°C 15%
36°C 5.5%
33°C or below
52%
34°C
29%
35°C
15%
36°C
6%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 52%
34°C 29%
35°C 15%
36°C 5.5%
33°C or below
52%
34°C
29%
35°C
15%
36°C
6%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's April 4 maximum temperature at 35.6°C, slightly below normal, amid 17 mm of rainfall that cooled the region. Forecasts for April 5 predict a high around 32°C under partly cloudy skies turning rainy with thundershowers, while extended outlooks for April 3–9 indicate near-normal or below-normal maximums of 34–36°C across central Uttar Pradesh zones, with light to moderate rain likely. Persistent cloud cover and thunderstorms from recent western disturbances reduce solar insolation, positioning "33°C or below" as the 49.5% market-implied frontrunner and "34°C" at 29%, reflecting trader consensus on subdued pre-monsoon heating versus historical early-April averages near 37°C. Updated IMD bulletins on April 6 could refine probabilities as the system evolves.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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