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Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

76-77°F 99.6%

78-79°F 1.0%

80-81°F 1.0%

82-83°F 1.0%

Polymarket

$104,888 Vol.

76-77°F 99.6%

78-79°F 1.0%

80-81°F 1.0%

82-83°F 1.0%

Polymarket

$104,888 Vol.

76-77°F

$8,780 Vol.

100%

78-79°F

$4,923 Vol.

1%

80-81°F

$5,073 Vol.

1%

82-83°F

$5,442 Vol.

1%

84-85°F

$6,879 Vol.

1%

86-87°F

$6,612 Vol.

1%

88-89°F

$9,215 Vol.

<1%

90°F or higher

$14,268 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a Denver high of 76-77°F on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models converging tightly on this outcome amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, downslope Chinook winds, and efficient solar heating across the Front Range. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs shows minimal spread, with peak afternoon temperatures modeled at 76-77°F based on current upper-air patterns and March climatological norms, where such warmth occurs in about 20% of historical analogs. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler moist air from the Pacific or unforecasted low clouds reducing insolation, though soundings indicate stable conditions; final confirmation comes from Denver International Airport observations resolving the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$104,888
End Date
Mar 26, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckly Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a Denver high of 76-77°F on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models converging tightly on this outcome amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, downslope Chinook winds, and efficient solar heating across the Front Range. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs shows minimal spread, with peak afternoon temperatures modeled at 76-77°F based on current upper-air patterns and March climatological norms, where such warmth occurs in about 20% of historical analogs. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler moist air from the Pacific or unforecasted low clouds reducing insolation, though soundings indicate stable conditions; final confirmation comes from Denver International Airport observations resolving the market.

Trader consensus assigns a 99.6% implied probability to a Denver high of 76-77°F on March 26, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast models converging tightly on this outcome amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, downslope Chinook winds, and efficient solar heating across the Front Range. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs shows minimal spread, with peak afternoon temperatures modeled at 76-77°F based on current upper-air patterns and March climatological norms, where such warmth occurs in about 20% of historical analogs. Realistic challenges include a sudden shift in steering winds introducing cooler moist air from the Pacific or unforecasted low clouds reducing insolation, though soundings indicate stable conditions; final confirmation comes from Denver International Airport observations resolving the market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "76-77°F" at 100%, followed by "78-79°F" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?" has generated $104.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?" is "76-77°F" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "78-79°F" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.