Official meteorological observations from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, peaked at 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome and trader consensus backed by real capital. Hourly surface readings at stations like Esenboğa Airport showed midday temperatures reaching 14-15°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, with limited insolation from intermittent cloud cover and a cool continental air mass suppressing further warming—consistent with late March climatology, where average highs hover around 12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges include rare MGM data revisions from quality audits or discrepancies across urban stations, though primary resolution criteria prioritize central airport measurements. New daily summaries typically finalize within 24 hours post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on March 27?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 27?
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$151,888 Vol.
$151,888 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$151,888 Vol.
$151,888 Vol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü (MGM) confirm Ankara's highest temperature on March 27, 2026, peaked at 15°C, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome and trader consensus backed by real capital. Hourly surface readings at stations like Esenboğa Airport showed midday temperatures reaching 14-15°C under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds, with limited insolation from intermittent cloud cover and a cool continental air mass suppressing further warming—consistent with late March climatology, where average highs hover around 12°C amid transitional spring patterns. Realistic challenges include rare MGM data revisions from quality audits or discrepancies across urban stations, though primary resolution criteria prioritize central airport measurements. New daily summaries typically finalize within 24 hours post-midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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