Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) project Ankara's highest temperature today at 16°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (44.5% implied probability) and 16°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes. Morning observations at Esenboğa Airport show temperatures rising from overnight lows near 5°C to around 10-13°C amid light winds and intermittent cloud cover, which suppresses solar insolation and caps peaks per GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering at 14-16°C. This reflects typical early April continental climate variability in central Anatolia, where historical highs average 15°C; 17°C or higher remains unlikely (5.3%) without significant clearing, while sub-14°C outcomes (<1%) defy warming trends. Real-time station data will refine probabilities through afternoon peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 5?
15°C 44%
14°C 27%
16°C 24%
17°C or higher 5.6%
$56,181 Vol.
$56,181 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
27%
15°C
44%
16°C
24%
17°C or higher
6%
15°C 44%
14°C 27%
16°C 24%
17°C or higher 5.6%
$56,181 Vol.
$56,181 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
27%
15°C
44%
16°C
24%
17°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) project Ankara's highest temperature today at 16°C under partly cloudy conditions with possible afternoon showers, driving trader consensus toward 15°C (44.5% implied probability) and 16°C (25.5%) as leading outcomes. Morning observations at Esenboğa Airport show temperatures rising from overnight lows near 5°C to around 10-13°C amid light winds and intermittent cloud cover, which suppresses solar insolation and caps peaks per GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering at 14-16°C. This reflects typical early April continental climate variability in central Anatolia, where historical highs average 15°C; 17°C or higher remains unlikely (5.3%) without significant clearing, while sub-14°C outcomes (<1%) defy warming trends. Real-time station data will refine probabilities through afternoon peak heating.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions