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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 32%

Avengers: Doomsday 16%

The Odyssey 4.5%

Polymarket

$2,623,280 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 32%

Avengers: Doomsday 16%

The Odyssey 4.5%

Polymarket

$2,623,280 Vol.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$104,787 Vol.

40%

The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

$96,683 Vol.

32%

Avengers: Doomsday

$146,273 Vol.

16%

The Odyssey

$330,007 Vol.

4%

Toy Story 5

$137,316 Vol.

2%

Project Hail Mary

$169,298 Vol.

2%

Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu

$106,152 Vol.

1%

Michael

$557,559 Vol.

1%

Dune: Messiah

$194,264 Vol.

1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$208,539 Vol.

1%

Wuthering Heights

$121,665 Vol.

<1%

Jumanji 3

$70,416 Vol.

<1%

Wicked: For Good

$291,462 Vol.

<1%

Scream 7

$88,860 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 39.5% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut on March 18—718 million views in 24 hours and now over 1.1 billion total—surpassing all precedents and signaling massive opening weekend potential from Tom Holland's MCU return. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 32%, buoyed by glowing Japan premiere reactions on March 28 praising its visuals and Easter eggs, building on the franchise's $1.36 billion precedent, with family appeal positioning it for strong legs post its April 1 wide release. Avengers: Doomsday lags at 15.5% amid its late December slot and superhero fatigue concerns; Mario's opening weekend will be the pivotal swing factor in this tight tentpole race.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,623,280
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 39.5% implied probability for 2026's highest-grossing film, propelled by its record-shattering trailer debut on March 18—718 million views in 24 hours and now over 1.1 billion total—surpassing all precedents and signaling massive opening weekend potential from Tom Holland's MCU return. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie trails closely at 32%, buoyed by glowing Japan premiere reactions on March 28 praising its visuals and Easter eggs, building on the franchise's $1.36 billion precedent, with family appeal positioning it for strong legs post its April 1 wide release. Avengers: Doomsday lags at 15.5% amid its late December slot and superhero fatigue concerns; Mario's opening weekend will be the pivotal swing factor in this tight tentpole race.

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,623,280
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross. In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner. If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest grossing movie in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 40%, followed by "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" has generated $2.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest grossing movie in 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" is "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest grossing movie in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.