Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June 2025 COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in the $4,200-$5,000 range with 36.2% combined implied probability, driven by sustained Fed rate cut expectations following September's 50 basis point reduction and softer September CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, alongside record central bank purchases—led by China—and escalating Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven demand. Spot gold holds near $2,652 amid dollar weakness, with June futures around $2,815 reflecting contango and bullish momentum up 30% year-to-date. Closely contested leading bins underscore uncertainty from U.S. election outcomes, potential USD rebound, or hawkish policy shifts; differentiating factors include November CPI release and December FOMC for rate trajectory signals versus geopolitical escalation or recession risks tilting toward higher bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
What will Gold (GC) settle at in June?
$4,200-$4,600 19.8%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$5,000-$5,400 14.2%
$832,073 Vol.
$832,073 Vol.
<$3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
20%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>$6,200
7%
$4,200-$4,600 19.8%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$3,800-$4,200 14.3%
$5,000-$5,400 14.2%
$832,073 Vol.
$832,073 Vol.
<$3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
14%
$4,200-$4,600
20%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
9%
$5,800-$6,200
7%
>$6,200
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June 2025 COMEX Gold (GC) settlement in the $4,200-$5,000 range with 36.2% combined implied probability, driven by sustained Fed rate cut expectations following September's 50 basis point reduction and softer September CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, alongside record central bank purchases—led by China—and escalating Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven demand. Spot gold holds near $2,652 amid dollar weakness, with June futures around $2,815 reflecting contango and bullish momentum up 30% year-to-date. Closely contested leading bins underscore uncertainty from U.S. election outcomes, potential USD rebound, or hawkish policy shifts; differentiating factors include November CPI release and December FOMC for rate trajectory signals versus geopolitical escalation or recession risks tilting toward higher bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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