Post-CPI reassessment of Federal Reserve rate cut odds, now at just 20% for June per CME FedWatch Tool after hotter-than-expected 3.3% headline inflation, has tempered gold futures (GC) rally to around $2,340/oz, signaling Polymarket trader consensus leaning toward sub-$2,400 closes by June 30. Weakening USD Index below 105 and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.25% provide tailwinds, amplified by Middle East geopolitical risks boosting safe-haven flows. The June 11-12 FOMC dot plot and June 28 PCE deflator remain pivotal catalysts; a dovish pivot could push toward $2,450 consensus forecasts from JPMorgan, while hawkish rhetoric risks pullback to $2,300 support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
$2,071,941 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
29%
↓ $4,200
62%
↓ $3,800
15%
↓ $3,400
7%
$2,071,941 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
8%
↑ $6,200
11%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
29%
↓ $4,200
62%
↓ $3,800
15%
↓ $3,400
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Post-CPI reassessment of Federal Reserve rate cut odds, now at just 20% for June per CME FedWatch Tool after hotter-than-expected 3.3% headline inflation, has tempered gold futures (GC) rally to around $2,340/oz, signaling Polymarket trader consensus leaning toward sub-$2,400 closes by June 30. Weakening USD Index below 105 and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.25% provide tailwinds, amplified by Middle East geopolitical risks boosting safe-haven flows. The June 11-12 FOMC dot plot and June 28 PCE deflator remain pivotal catalysts; a dovish pivot could push toward $2,450 consensus forecasts from JPMorgan, while hawkish rhetoric risks pullback to $2,300 support.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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