With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 55% "Yes," reflecting House Republican plans for a clean 18-month extension amid a compressed timeline for a potential mid-April floor vote. President Trump's recent public endorsement of the short-term renewal—citing its vital role in ongoing military operations against Iran and retention of 2024 reforms from the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act—has bolstered support among national security hawks, offsetting past criticisms of warrantless surveillance abuses. However, House GOP divisions persist, fueled by bipartisan reform bills like the Government Surveillance Reform Act demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, privacy advocate opposition, and progressive resistance, leaving passage uncertain in a narrow majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedFISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 19, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 55% "Yes," reflecting House Republican plans for a clean 18-month extension amid a compressed timeline for a potential mid-April floor vote. President Trump's recent public endorsement of the short-term renewal—citing its vital role in ongoing military operations against Iran and retention of 2024 reforms from the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act—has bolstered support among national security hawks, offsetting past criticisms of warrantless surveillance abuses. However, House GOP divisions persist, fueled by bipartisan reform bills like the Government Surveillance Reform Act demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, privacy advocate opposition, and progressive resistance, leaving passage uncertain in a narrow majority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$8,791End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 55% "Yes," reflecting House Republican plans for a clean 18-month extension amid a compressed timeline for a potential mid-April floor vote. President Trump's recent public endorsement of the short-term renewal—citing its vital role in ongoing military operations against Iran and retention of 2024 reforms from the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act—has bolstered support among national security hawks, offsetting past criticisms of warrantless surveillance abuses. However, House GOP divisions persist, fueled by bipartisan reform bills like the Government Surveillance Reform Act demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, privacy advocate opposition, and progressive resistance, leaving passage uncertain in a narrow majority.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,791End Date
Apr 19, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Section 702 of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act set to expire on April 20, trader consensus tilts slightly toward reauthorization at 55% "Yes," reflecting House Republican plans for a clean 18-month extension amid a compressed timeline for a potential mid-April floor vote. President Trump's recent public endorsement of the short-term renewal—citing its vital role in ongoing military operations against Iran and retention of 2024 reforms from the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act—has bolstered support among national security hawks, offsetting past criticisms of warrantless surveillance abuses. However, House GOP divisions persist, fueled by bipartisan reform bills like the Government Surveillance Reform Act demanding warrant requirements for U.S. person queries, privacy advocate opposition, and progressive resistance, leaving passage uncertain in a narrow majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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