Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

240-259 17%

260-279 17%

280-299 16%

300-319 12%

Polymarket

$4,853,587 Vol.

240-259 17%

260-279 17%

280-299 16%

300-319 12%

Polymarket

$4,853,587 Vol.

60-79

$69,577 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$104,764 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$63,327 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$84,901 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$96,680 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$107,877 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$69,252 Vol.

1%

200-219

$59,557 Vol.

5%

220-239

$80,060 Vol.

10%

240-259

$69,030 Vol.

17%

260-279

$67,589 Vol.

17%

280-299

$53,799 Vol.

16%

300-319

$54,624 Vol.

12%

320-339

$44,870 Vol.

9%

340-359

$43,192 Vol.

7%

360-379

$48,345 Vol.

5%

380-399

$54,895 Vol.

2%

400-419

$51,673 Vol.

2%

420-439

$49,938 Vol.

1%

440-459

$36,611 Vol.

1%

460-479

$37,195 Vol.

1%

480-499

$37,506 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$43,597 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$66,212 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$81,487 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$85,532 Vol.

<1%

580+

$149,896 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's posting volume from March 31 to April 7, with the 260-279 range edging out at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 32 posts per day tracked in the prior week via X analytics. This pace aligns with March 2026's monthly total implying 42+ daily averages but moderates amid ongoing legal scrutiny over past Twitter statements. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential surges from fresh catalysts like SpaceX's preliminary IPO filing paperwork, announced April 2, which could amplify viral engagement on X. Watch daily fluctuations and news-driven spikes through April 7 for momentum shifts in this closely contested market.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,853,587
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's posting volume from March 31 to April 7, with the 260-279 range edging out at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 32 posts per day tracked in the prior week via X analytics. This pace aligns with March 2026's monthly total implying 42+ daily averages but moderates amid ongoing legal scrutiny over past Twitter statements. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential surges from fresh catalysts like SpaceX's preliminary IPO filing paperwork, announced April 2, which could amplify viral engagement on X. Watch daily fluctuations and news-driven spikes through April 7 for momentum shifts in this closely contested market.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,853,587
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 17%, followed by "260-279" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" has generated $4.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" is "240-259" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "260-279" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.