Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's posting volume from March 31 to April 7, with the 260-279 range edging out at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 32 posts per day tracked in the prior week via X analytics. This pace aligns with March 2026's monthly total implying 42+ daily averages but moderates amid ongoing legal scrutiny over past Twitter statements. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential surges from fresh catalysts like SpaceX's preliminary IPO filing paperwork, announced April 2, which could amplify viral engagement on X. Watch daily fluctuations and news-driven spikes through April 7 for momentum shifts in this closely contested market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated240-259 17%
260-279 17%
280-299 16%
300-319 12%
$4,853,587 Vol.
$4,853,587 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200-219
5%
220-239
10%
240-259
17%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
12%
320-339
9%
340-359
7%
360-379
5%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 17%
260-279 17%
280-299 16%
300-319 12%
$4,853,587 Vol.
$4,853,587 Vol.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
1%
200-219
5%
220-239
10%
240-259
17%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
12%
320-339
9%
340-359
7%
360-379
5%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's posting volume from March 31 to April 7, with the 260-279 range edging out at 16.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 32 posts per day tracked in the prior week via X analytics. This pace aligns with March 2026's monthly total implying 42+ daily averages but moderates amid ongoing legal scrutiny over past Twitter statements. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential surges from fresh catalysts like SpaceX's preliminary IPO filing paperwork, announced April 2, which could amplify viral engagement on X. Watch daily fluctuations and news-driven spikes through April 7 for momentum shifts in this closely contested market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
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