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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Market icon

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Apr 7

Apr 7

28 Years Later: The Bone Temple 18%

The Bad Guardian 2.1%

Minions: The Rise of Gru 2.0%

The Bad Guys 2 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW

28 Years Later: The Bone Temple 18%

The Bad Guardian 2.1%

Minions: The Rise of Gru 2.0%

The Bad Guys 2 1.3%

Polymarket
NEW
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28 Years Later: The Bone Temple

$110 Vol.

18%

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The Bad Guardian

$143 Vol.

2%

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Minions: The Rise of Gru

$70 Vol.

2%

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The Bad Guys 2

$70 Vol.

1%

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War Machine

$243 Vol.

1%

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Sisu: Road to Revenge

$164 Vol.

1%

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Gaslit By My Husband: The Morgan Metzer Story

$77 Vol.

1%

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Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man

$98 Vol.

1%

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The Creator

$10 Vol.

1%

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KPop Demon Hunters

$214 Vol.

1%

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The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson

$285 Vol.

40%

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Anaconda

$97 Vol.

44%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for Netflix's top US movie this week, with Anaconda holding a slim 43.5% implied probability over The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson's 40% on surging streaming metrics. Anaconda's March 25 premiere, featuring Jack Black and Paul Rudd in a meta horror-comedy reboot, rocketed it to daily #1 by April 1 via viral buzz and broad family appeal, displacing holdovers like Minions: The Rise of Gru. Yet Moriah Wilson, the March 19 true crime documentary chronicling cyclist Moriah "Mo" Wilson's murder, sustains strong viewer engagement through emotional depth and fresh reviews from outlets like The New York Times, capitalizing on the genre's enduring draw. 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple lags at 18% despite recent streaming arrival, hindered by franchise fatigue; resolution hinges on final weekly view hours amid unpredictable late-week shifts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,578
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin contest for Netflix's top US movie this week, with Anaconda holding a slim 43.5% implied probability over The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson's 40% on surging streaming metrics. Anaconda's March 25 premiere, featuring Jack Black and Paul Rudd in a meta horror-comedy reboot, rocketed it to daily #1 by April 1 via viral buzz and broad family appeal, displacing holdovers like Minions: The Rise of Gru. Yet Moriah Wilson, the March 19 true crime documentary chronicling cyclist Moriah "Mo" Wilson's murder, sustains strong viewer engagement through emotional depth and fresh reviews from outlets like The New York Times, capitalizing on the genre's enduring draw. 28 Years Later: The Bone Temple lags at 18% despite recent streaming arrival, hindered by franchise fatigue; resolution hinges on final weekly view hours amid unpredictable late-week shifts.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$1,578
End Date
Apr 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 1, 2026, 5:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 Movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 Netflix movie in the United States. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Anaconda" at 44%, followed by "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "Anaconda" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.