Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

Apr 3

Apr 7

Apr 10

TWEET COUNT
101
Time left
TWEETS
101
Time left

240-259 33.8%

260-279 33%

280-299 16%

220-239 9.9%

Polymarket

$15,608,734 Vol.

240-259 33.8%

260-279 33%

280-299 16%

220-239 9.9%

Polymarket

$15,608,734 Vol.

160-179

$420,644 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$491,811 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$383,748 Vol.

1%

220-239

$343,896 Vol.

10%

240-259

$332,877 Vol.

34%

260-279

$265,686 Vol.

33%

280-299

$226,889 Vol.

16%

300-319

$190,662 Vol.

4%

320-339

$185,795 Vol.

1%

340-359

$164,010 Vol.

1%

360-379

$158,025 Vol.

1%

380-399

$209,595 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$280,788 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$284,916 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$216,880 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$215,095 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$179,282 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$154,983 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$123,686 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$136,030 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$108,922 Vol.

<1%

580+

$126,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27-April 3, 2026, shows razor-thin margins between 240-259 (33.7% implied probability) and 260-279 (32.5%), driven by XTracker data logging 182 posts at 71% progress as of April 1—projecting roughly 256 total at the current 32-posts-per-day pace. This follows a 40-daily-average burst over March 30-April 1 amid viral political commentary on immigration and Irish cultural debates, plus Grok AI promos and Tesla Roadster unveil buzz. Steady social media engagement on culture-war flashpoints and tech updates sustains the deadlock, but surges tied to potential April 1 announcements or breaking news could tip the scales before the April 3 close.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,608,734
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for March 27-April 3, 2026, shows razor-thin margins between 240-259 (33.7% implied probability) and 260-279 (32.5%), driven by XTracker data logging 182 posts at 71% progress as of April 1—projecting roughly 256 total at the current 32-posts-per-day pace. This follows a 40-daily-average burst over March 30-April 1 amid viral political commentary on immigration and Irish cultural debates, plus Grok AI promos and Tesla Roadster unveil buzz. Steady social media engagement on culture-war flashpoints and tech updates sustains the deadlock, but surges tied to potential April 1 announcements or breaking news could tip the scales before the April 3 close.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,608,734
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "240-259" at 34%, followed by "260-279" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" has generated $15.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is "240-259" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "260-279" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.