Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly backed the 65-89 tweet bin for Elon Musk's X activity from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11 12:00 PM ET, reflecting live trackers like xtracker showing totals already in that range—starting with just 19 posts after the first day and maintaining a subdued pace averaging under 30 daily amid his recent steady 30-40 post norm without surges. This strong positioning stems from the market window nearing closure with no visible catalysts for a posting frenzy, such as SpaceX updates or political controversies that typically spike his viral engagement. Realistic upsets would require an abrupt tweet storm in final hours, perhaps triggered by breaking news, though his current quiet streak and historical patterns make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,303,053 Vol.
$2,303,053 Vol.
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,303,053 Vol.
$2,303,053 Vol.
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly backed the 65-89 tweet bin for Elon Musk's X activity from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11 12:00 PM ET, reflecting live trackers like xtracker showing totals already in that range—starting with just 19 posts after the first day and maintaining a subdued pace averaging under 30 daily amid his recent steady 30-40 post norm without surges. This strong positioning stems from the market window nearing closure with no visible catalysts for a posting frenzy, such as SpaceX updates or political controversies that typically spike his viral engagement. Realistic upsets would require an abrupt tweet storm in final hours, perhaps triggered by breaking news, though his current quiet streak and historical patterns make such shifts improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions