Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 1360-1439 tweets in April 2026, implying about 45 per day, closely mirroring his 2024 average of roughly 40-50 daily posts amid high-visibility political and business activity. Recent surges, like over 1,200 tweets in March 2025 tied to xAI announcements and election commentary, bolster this cluster, while lower bins reflect risks of reduced volume if Musk delegates more to deputies or faces platform changes. Historical patterns show volatility—dipping below 1,000 during lulls but spiking past 1,500 during controversies—leaving 1400-1439 a slim favorite at 7.2% amid tight competition, with traders eyeing 2026's post-midterm dynamics for swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1360-1399 7.6%
1400-1439 7.2%
1320-1359 5.3%
1520-1559 4.8%
$3,622,890 Vol.
$3,622,890 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
3%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
4%
1240-1279
3%
1280-1319
5%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
8%
1400-1439
7%
1440-1479
4%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
4%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
4%
2000+
1%
1360-1399 7.6%
1400-1439 7.2%
1320-1359 5.3%
1520-1559 4.8%
$3,622,890 Vol.
$3,622,890 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
<1%
600-619
<1%
620-639
<1%
640-659
<1%
660-679
1%
680-699
1%
700-719
1%
720-739
1%
740-759
1%
760-779
1%
780-799
1%
800-839
1%
840-879
1%
880-919
2%
920-959
2%
960-999
3%
1000-1039
3%
1040-1079
3%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
4%
1200-1239
4%
1240-1279
3%
1280-1319
5%
1320-1359
5%
1360-1399
8%
1400-1439
7%
1440-1479
4%
1480-1519
4%
1520-1559
5%
1560-1599
4%
1600-1679
4%
1680-1759
3%
1760-1839
2%
1840-1919
2%
1920-1999
4%
2000+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Feb 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on Elon Musk posting 1360-1439 tweets in April 2026, implying about 45 per day, closely mirroring his 2024 average of roughly 40-50 daily posts amid high-visibility political and business activity. Recent surges, like over 1,200 tweets in March 2025 tied to xAI announcements and election commentary, bolster this cluster, while lower bins reflect risks of reduced volume if Musk delegates more to deputies or faces platform changes. Historical patterns show volatility—dipping below 1,000 during lulls but spiking past 1,500 during controversies—leaving 1400-1439 a slim favorite at 7.2% amid tight competition, with traders eyeing 2026's post-midterm dynamics for swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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