This market will resolve to “Yes” if East African nations announce their intention to accept at least 100,000 Gazan refugees between them, either temporarily or long-term, between March 14, and June 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, "East African nations" comprise of: Burundi, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Rwanda, Seychelles, Somalia, Somaliland, South Sudan, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Zimbabwe

This market will resolve based solely on the number of Gazan refugees that are to be admitted by the listed countries.

If East African nations announce they will accept an undisclosed number of Gazan refugees, this market will remain open until the resolution date or further announcements are made clarifying the number of refugees to be accepted, or the number is otherwise confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the governments of Egypt and Jordan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.