WTI crude oil (CL) futures surged over 3% to around $81.50 per barrel on June 21, driven by escalating Middle East tensions between Israel and Iran that heightened supply disruption fears and added a geopolitical risk premium. This reversed earlier June declines tied to China's underwhelming economic data signaling softer demand and unexpected US inventory builds per the latest EIA report. OPEC+'s extension of voluntary production cuts through year-end bolsters the supply-side floor, though compliance issues persist amid non-OPEC output growth. With end-June resolution days away, traders eye weekly EIA storage releases and potential conflict escalations as pivotal catalysts that could push prices above or below critical thresholds amid volatile risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,352,980 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
27%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
45%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
56%
↑ $105
68%
↑ $100
76%
↓ $85
76%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
12%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,352,980 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
27%
↑ $130
32%
↑ $120
45%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
56%
↑ $105
68%
↑ $100
76%
↓ $85
76%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
12%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Mar 3, 2026, 3:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures surged over 3% to around $81.50 per barrel on June 21, driven by escalating Middle East tensions between Israel and Iran that heightened supply disruption fears and added a geopolitical risk premium. This reversed earlier June declines tied to China's underwhelming economic data signaling softer demand and unexpected US inventory builds per the latest EIA report. OPEC+'s extension of voluntary production cuts through year-end bolsters the supply-side floor, though compliance issues persist amid non-OPEC output growth. With end-June resolution days away, traders eye weekly EIA storage releases and potential conflict escalations as pivotal catalysts that could push prices above or below critical thresholds amid volatile risk appetite.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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