WTI crude oil (CL) futures have retreated to around $81 per barrel, down over 3% in the past week, as Middle East de-escalation hopes—following Israel's limited strike on Iran—eroded the geopolitical risk premium that had propped up prices earlier in June. Bearish pressures intensified with the latest EIA data showing a 3.6 million barrel inventory build, far exceeding expectations, signaling softening US demand amid high gasoline stocks ahead of peak summer driving season. A stronger US dollar from resilient economic data further weighs on dollar-denominated oil. Traders eye next week's OPEC+ monitoring committee meeting for potential supply adjustments, alongside US jobless claims and GDP releases that could sway Fed rate cut odds and risk appetite, with end-of-June expiry looming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,361,547 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
27%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
44%
↑ $115
47%
↑ $110
56%
↑ $105
69%
↑ $100
77%
↓ $85
79%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
12%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,361,547 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
19%
↑ $140
27%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
44%
↑ $115
47%
↑ $110
56%
↑ $105
69%
↑ $100
77%
↓ $85
79%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
12%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil (CL) futures have retreated to around $81 per barrel, down over 3% in the past week, as Middle East de-escalation hopes—following Israel's limited strike on Iran—eroded the geopolitical risk premium that had propped up prices earlier in June. Bearish pressures intensified with the latest EIA data showing a 3.6 million barrel inventory build, far exceeding expectations, signaling softening US demand amid high gasoline stocks ahead of peak summer driving season. A stronger US dollar from resilient economic data further weighs on dollar-denominated oil. Traders eye next week's OPEC+ monitoring committee meeting for potential supply adjustments, alongside US jobless claims and GDP releases that could sway Fed rate cut odds and risk appetite, with end-of-June expiry looming.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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