Crude Oil (CL) futures trade around $81/bbl, with trader consensus pricing in subdued upside risks to key levels by June's end amid OPEC+'s extension of 2.2 million bpd cuts through Q3—partially offset by planned 411,000 bpd increases starting July—coupled with a surprise 5.8 million barrel US inventory build per latest EIA data. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide a floor via supply disruption premiums, while China's May industrial output grew just 0.4% YoY, capping demand expectations. Watch tomorrow's EIA weekly storage report and potential Red Sea escalation for volatility; summer driving season offers marginal tailwind against recession fears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
$2,332,192 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
20%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
56%
↑ $115
50%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
72%
↑ $100
74%
↓ $85
76%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
13%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,332,192 Vol.
↑ $200
10%
↑ $175
13%
↑ $150
20%
↑ $140
24%
↑ $130
33%
↑ $120
56%
↑ $115
50%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
72%
↑ $100
74%
↓ $85
76%
↓ $80
73%
↓ $70
43%
↓ $60
18%
↓ $55
14%
↓ $52
13%
↓ $50
9%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Market Opened: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Crude Oil (CL) futures trade around $81/bbl, with trader consensus pricing in subdued upside risks to key levels by June's end amid OPEC+'s extension of 2.2 million bpd cuts through Q3—partially offset by planned 411,000 bpd increases starting July—coupled with a surprise 5.8 million barrel US inventory build per latest EIA data. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East provide a floor via supply disruption premiums, while China's May industrial output grew just 0.4% YoY, capping demand expectations. Watch tomorrow's EIA weekly storage report and potential Red Sea escalation for volatility; summer driving season offers marginal tailwind against recession fears.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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