Cilia Flores remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center alongside former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, over 90 days after their January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces in Caracas and arraignment on federal narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan's Southern District of New York. In their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss the case—citing U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for legal fees—while noting no bail request was made; no next hearing date was scheduled. Supporters protested outside court demanding release as political prisoners, but procedural challenges and serious allegations sustain trader consensus on extended custody ahead of potential bail arguments or trial setting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMaduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
$1,166,149 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
December 31
5%
$1,166,149 Vol.
December 31
$119,548 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center alongside former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, over 90 days after their January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces in Caracas and arraignment on federal narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan's Southern District of New York. In their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss the case—citing U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for legal fees—while noting no bail request was made; no next hearing date was scheduled. Supporters protested outside court demanding release as political prisoners, but procedural challenges and serious allegations sustain trader consensus on extended custody ahead of potential bail arguments or trial setting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,166,149End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center alongside former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, over 90 days after their January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces in Caracas and arraignment on federal narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan's Southern District of New York. In their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss the case—citing U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for legal fees—while noting no bail request was made; no next hearing date was scheduled. Supporters protested outside court demanding release as political prisoners, but procedural challenges and serious allegations sustain trader consensus on extended custody ahead of potential bail arguments or trial setting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,166,149End Date
Jan 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains detained at Brooklyn's Metropolitan Detention Center alongside former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, over 90 days after their January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces in Caracas and arraignment on federal narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan's Southern District of New York. In their March 26 pretrial hearing, Judge Alvin Hellerstein denied defense motions to dismiss the case—citing U.S. sanctions blocking Venezuelan funding for legal fees—while noting no bail request was made; no next hearing date was scheduled. Supporters protested outside court demanding release as political prisoners, but procedural challenges and serious allegations sustain trader consensus on extended custody ahead of potential bail arguments or trial setting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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