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Average US gas prices on February 28?

Market icon

Average US gas prices on February 28?

$3.14 or less 100.0%

$3.15 <1%

$3.16 <1%

$3.17 <1%

Polymarket

$233,505 Vol.

$3.14 or less 100.0%

$3.15 <1%

$3.16 <1%

$3.17 <1%

Polymarket

$233,505 Vol.

$3.14 or less

$107 Vol.

Yes

$3.15

$258 Vol.

No

$3.16

$114 Vol.

No

$3.17

$232,649 Vol.

No

$3.18 or more

$375 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the average US regular gas price according to AAA on February 28, 2025.

This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).

The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Volume
$233,505
End Date
Feb 28, 2025
Market Opened
Feb 21, 2025, 4:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the average US regular gas price according to AAA on February 28, 2025. This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Average US gas prices on February 28?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "$3.14 or less" at 100%, followed by "$3.15" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Average US gas prices on February 28?" has generated $233.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Average US gas prices on February 28?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Average US gas prices on February 28?" is "$3.14 or less" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "$3.15" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Average US gas prices on February 28?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.