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Política·Grammys

¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·Grammys

¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$57,126 Vol.

Sí

<1% chance
Polymarket

$57,126 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump will not sue Trevor Noah by March 31, driven by the complete absence of any lawsuit filing or court documentation as the deadline approaches, with no public legal moves reported in recent weeks. The market stems from Trump's September Truth Social post threatening Noah over a comedy routine joking about his assassination attempt survival, but amid Trump's focus on his presidential campaign, ongoing trials, and high-profile defamation wins like the ABC settlement, no action has materialized against the former Daily Show host. Historical patterns show Trump's media threats rarely escalate to suits against individual comedians by tight deadlines, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic upset would require an abrupt filing in the final days, though Noah's bit falls squarely under protected satire with minimal defamation risk. Watch for any last-minute legal announcements before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$57,126
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 2:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.5% implied probability that Donald Trump will not sue Trevor Noah by March 31, driven by the complete absence of any lawsuit filing or court documentation as the deadline approaches, with no public legal moves reported in recent weeks. The market stems from Trump's September Truth Social post threatening Noah over a comedy routine joking about his assassination attempt survival, but amid Trump's focus on his presidential campaign, ongoing trials, and high-profile defamation wins like the ABC settlement, no action has materialized against the former Daily Show host. Historical patterns show Trump's media threats rarely escalate to suits against individual comedians by tight deadlines, reinforcing trader confidence. A realistic upset would require an abrupt filing in the final days, though Noah's bit falls squarely under protected satire with minimal defamation risk. Watch for any last-minute legal announcements before resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump initiates a lawsuit against Trevor Noah by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$57,126
Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 2:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Demandará Trump a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 1¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 1% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?" ha generado $57.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 2, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?" es "¿Demandará Trump a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?" con solo 1%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump demandará a Trevor Noah antes del 31 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.