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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

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Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?

4% probabilidad
Polymarket

$37,895 Vol.

4% probabilidad
Polymarket

$37,895 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Senate passage of the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), reflecting its partisan sponsorship by Rep. Chip Roy (R-TX) with 109 Republican cosponsors and narrow House passage along party lines in February 2026. The bill, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, faces a filibuster in the Senate, where Republicans lack the 60 votes needed for cloture despite their majority. Recent Democratic blocks, including Sen. Alex Padilla leading opposition to amendments and unanimous consent requests last week, have stalled floor consideration. Realistic shifts could include unexpected bipartisan endorsements, procedural maneuvers bypassing filibuster, or White House pressure yielding crossover votes, though historical patterns for similar election integrity bills suggest low likelihood.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$37,895
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Senate passage of the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296), reflecting its partisan sponsorship by Rep. Chip Roy (R-TX) with 109 Republican cosponsors and narrow House passage along party lines in February 2026. The bill, requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration and photo ID to vote, faces a filibuster in the Senate, where Republicans lack the 60 votes needed for cloture despite their majority. Recent Democratic blocks, including Sen. Alex Padilla leading opposition to amendments and unanimous consent requests last week, have stalled floor consideration. Realistic shifts could include unexpected bipartisan endorsements, procedural maneuvers bypassing filibuster, or White House pressure yielding crossover votes, though historical patterns for similar election integrity bills suggest low likelihood.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$37,895
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes H.R. 7296, the Save America Act, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a final vote on passage of the Save America Act is held in the Senate, and the bill fails, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/7296) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 4% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 4¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" ha generado $37.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 13, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?" es 4% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

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