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¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?

Market icon

¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,401,144 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$2,401,144 Vol.

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included.

This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).
Volumen
$2,401,144
Fecha de finalización
Feb 8, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.

For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included.

This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).
Volumen
$2,401,144
Fecha de finalización
Feb 8, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if António José Seguro receives the highest number of valid votes in the second round of this election in each electoral district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. For the purpose of this market, all of Portugal's districts include Aveiro, Azores, Beja, Braga, Bragança, Castelo Branco, Coimbra, Évora, Faro, Guarda, Leiria, Lisbon, Madeira, Portalegre, Porto, Santarém, Setúbal, Viana do Castelo, Vila Real, and Viseu. Overseas or foreign (estrangeiro) results will not be included. This market will resolve based on the result of the second round of this election of all Portuguese electoral Districts, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, such as on the Website of the Portuguese Ministry of Internal Administration (Ministério da Administração Interna) (https://www.presidenciais2026.mai.gov.pt/resultados/territorio-nacional).

Resultado propuesto: Sí

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Ganará Seguro en todos los distritos de Portugal?" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?" ha generado $2.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?" es "¿Ganará Seguro en todos los distritos de Portugal?" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Seguro ganará todos los distritos de Portugal?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.