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Política·Bibi

¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?

Market icon
Política·Bibi

¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

14% probabilidad
Polymarket

$53,809 Vol.

Sí

14% probabilidad
Polymarket

$53,809 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receiving a presidential pardon by June 30, driven by the Justice Ministry Pardons Department's firm opposition, reaffirmed this week amid his ongoing corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust. President Isaac Herzog's office recently requested additional materials, including pre-trial pardon precedents, signaling a deliberate review process rather than imminent approval, despite support from Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu on public-interest grounds tied to national security concerns. No confession or conviction has occurred, aligning with legal opinions deeming a pre-trial pardon improper, while external pressures like U.S. President Trump's calls have not swayed institutional resistance. The trial testimony continues, with resolution hinging on Herzog's final decision within the timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$53,809
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 86% implied probability against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receiving a presidential pardon by June 30, driven by the Justice Ministry Pardons Department's firm opposition, reaffirmed this week amid his ongoing corruption trial for bribery, fraud, and breach of trust. President Isaac Herzog's office recently requested additional materials, including pre-trial pardon precedents, signaling a deliberate review process rather than imminent approval, despite support from Heritage Minister Amichai Eliyahu on public-interest grounds tied to national security concerns. No confession or conviction has occurred, aligning with legal opinions deeming a pre-trial pardon improper, while external pressures like U.S. President Trump's calls have not swayed institutional resistance. The trial testimony continues, with resolution hinging on Herzog's final decision within the timeframe.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$53,809
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from Israeli President Isaac Herzog for any charges by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Será indultado Netanyahu antes del 30 de junio?" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 14¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $53.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 9, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Será indultado Netanyahu antes del 30 de junio?" con 14%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 14% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu será indultado antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.