Trader sentiment on U.S. retail gasoline prices reflects a sharp surge driven by escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and added a geopolitical risk premium. The national average for regular gasoline climbed from $2.98 per gallon a month ago to $4.02 as of April 1, per AAA data—up over $1 in March amid refinery maintenance and seasonal spring demand. EIA weekly surveys through March 30 confirmed the rally, with March averaging $3.64 per gallon. Traders eye upcoming inventory reports on April 7 and potential OPEC+ output decisions for resolution volatility, as sustained oil supply disruptions could push prices higher while de-escalation might ease the premium.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$642,245 Vol.
31 mar 2026
↑ $5.00
<1%
↑ $4.50
<1%
↑ $4.25
<1%
↓ $3.15
<1%
↓ $3.10
<1%
↓ $3.05
<1%
↓ $3.00
<1%
$642,245 Vol.
↑ $5.00
$96,399 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4.50
$118,763 Vol.
<1%
↑ $4.25
$65,734 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.15
$36,913 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.10
$43,650 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.05
$176,429 Vol.
<1%
↓ $3.00
$30,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".Trader sentiment on U.S. retail gasoline prices reflects a sharp surge driven by escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and added a geopolitical risk premium. The national average for regular gasoline climbed from $2.98 per gallon a month ago to $4.02 as of April 1, per AAA data—up over $1 in March amid refinery maintenance and seasonal spring demand. EIA weekly surveys through March 30 confirmed the rally, with March averaging $3.64 per gallon. Traders eye upcoming inventory reports on April 7 and potential OPEC+ output decisions for resolution volatility, as sustained oil supply disruptions could push prices higher while de-escalation might ease the premium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volumen
$642,245Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".Trader sentiment on U.S. retail gasoline prices reflects a sharp surge driven by escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and added a geopolitical risk premium. The national average for regular gasoline climbed from $2.98 per gallon a month ago to $4.02 as of April 1, per AAA data—up over $1 in March amid refinery maintenance and seasonal spring demand. EIA weekly surveys through March 30 confirmed the rally, with March averaging $3.64 per gallon. Traders eye upcoming inventory reports on April 7 and potential OPEC+ output decisions for resolution volatility, as sustained oil supply disruptions could push prices higher while de-escalation might ease the premium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and March 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
This market will resolve based on the first two digits of the reported price (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.157, this market will resolve to the "$3.15" bracket).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automotive Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg.".
Volumen
$642,245Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 5, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader sentiment on U.S. retail gasoline prices reflects a sharp surge driven by escalating Middle East tensions, including U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, which spiked West Texas Intermediate crude above $90 per barrel and added a geopolitical risk premium. The national average for regular gasoline climbed from $2.98 per gallon a month ago to $4.02 as of April 1, per AAA data—up over $1 in March amid refinery maintenance and seasonal spring demand. EIA weekly surveys through March 30 confirmed the rally, with March averaging $3.64 per gallon. Traders eye upcoming inventory reports on April 7 and potential OPEC+ output decisions for resolution volatility, as sustained oil supply disruptions could push prices higher while de-escalation might ease the premium.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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