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¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

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¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?

$483,083 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$483,083 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$171,296 Vol.

<1%

31 de diciembre

$6,700 Vol.

40%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Interim President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, pledged free and fair presidential elections during a February 12 interview but provided no timeline, emphasizing dependence on domestic political dialogue and eased international sanctions. The National Electoral Council (CNE) has announced no date amid opposition demands from María Corina Machado for snap elections within 9-10 months using manual voting, countered by National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez ruling out near-term polls. U.S. pressure under the Trump administration for democratic transition, including diplomatic reestablishment on March 6 and military leadership changes on March 20, heightens uncertainty, while constitutionally the next term runs to 2031. Traders weigh ongoing stabilization efforts against escalation risks ahead of potential CNE announcements.

Interim President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, pledged free and fair presidential elections during a February 12 interview but provided no timeline, emphasizing dependence on domestic political dialogue and eased international sanctions. The National Electoral Council (CNE) has announced no date amid opposition demands from María Corina Machado for snap elections within 9-10 months using manual voting, countered by National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez ruling out near-term polls. U.S. pressure under the Trump administration for democratic transition, including diplomatic reestablishment on March 6 and military leadership changes on March 20, heightens uncertainty, while constitutionally the next term runs to 2031. Traders weigh ongoing stabilization efforts against escalation risks ahead of potential CNE announcements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Venezuelan presidential election is scheduled by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the election must be scheduled to be held before 2030. This market is about whether a date for the next Venezuelan presidential election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Venezuela; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Interim President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, pledged free and fair presidential elections during a February 12 interview but provided no timeline, emphasizing dependence on domestic political dialogue and eased international sanctions. The National Electoral Council (CNE) has announced no date amid opposition demands from María Corina Machado for snap elections within 9-10 months using manual voting, countered by National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez ruling out near-term polls. U.S. pressure under the Trump administration for democratic transition, including diplomatic reestablishment on March 6 and military leadership changes on March 20, heightens uncertainty, while constitutionally the next term runs to 2031. Traders weigh ongoing stabilization efforts against escalation risks ahead of potential CNE announcements.

Interim President Delcy Rodríguez, sworn in after U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, pledged free and fair presidential elections during a February 12 interview but provided no timeline, emphasizing dependence on domestic political dialogue and eased international sanctions. The National Electoral Council (CNE) has announced no date amid opposition demands from María Corina Machado for snap elections within 9-10 months using manual voting, countered by National Assembly President Jorge Rodríguez ruling out near-term polls. U.S. pressure under the Trump administration for democratic transition, including diplomatic reestablishment on March 6 and military leadership changes on March 20, heightens uncertainty, while constitutionally the next term runs to 2031. Traders weigh ongoing stabilization efforts against escalation risks ahead of potential CNE announcements.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 40%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" ha generado $483.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elecciones presidenciales en Venezuela programadas para...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.