Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Del 4 De Noviembre

Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Partido Republicano

$7,644 Vol.

85%

Partido Demócrata

$0 Vol.

12%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.

Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.

Former MLB star Mark Teixeira's decisive victory in the crowded Republican primary on March 3 solidified his nomination for Texas' 21st Congressional District, an open seat vacated by Rep. Chip Roy's bid for state attorney general, driving trader consensus to an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican win. The district's strong GOP lean, encompassing ruby-red Hill Country and conservative suburbs of San Antonio and Austin, historically delivers large Republican margins, bolstering Teixeira against Democratic nominee Kristin Hook, who captured 60% in her uncontested primary. With no general election polls yet available and the November ballot far off, traders price in baseline partisan advantages and Teixeira's demonstrated party support, though an uncertain national midterm environment leaves room for shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Partido Republicano" con 85%, seguido de "Partido Demócrata" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 29, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21" es "Partido Republicano" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Partido Demócrata" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-21" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.