Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating below 40% at 61.5% probability on March 27, reflecting a downward trend in recent national polls from Gallup, Quinnipiac, and Rasmussen showing net disapproval amid backlash to early executive actions on mass deportations, tariff hikes on imports, and cabinet confirmation battles. Approval dipped from 47% post-inauguration highs to the low 40s in the past two weeks, driven by voter concerns over inflation risks, stock market volatility following trade war signals, and divided reactions to agency overhauls like DOGE efficiency cuts. The closely trailing 40.0–40.4% bin at 35.5% underscores uncertainty ahead of potential mid-March economic data releases and congressional pushback, with higher bins dismissed due to persistent partisan gaps and no major rebound catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on March 27?
Trump approval rating on March 27?
<40.0 62%
40.0–40.4 36%
40.5–40.9 2.9%
42.0+ <1%
$30,938 Vol.
$30,938 Vol.
<40.0
62%
40.0–40.4
36%
40.5–40.9
3%
41.0–41.4
<1%
41.5–41.9
<1%
42.0+
<1%
<40.0 62%
40.0–40.4 36%
40.5–40.9 2.9%
42.0+ <1%
$30,938 Vol.
$30,938 Vol.
<40.0
62%
40.0–40.4
36%
40.5–40.9
3%
41.0–41.4
<1%
41.5–41.9
<1%
42.0+
<1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Trump's approval rating below 40% at 61.5% probability on March 27, reflecting a downward trend in recent national polls from Gallup, Quinnipiac, and Rasmussen showing net disapproval amid backlash to early executive actions on mass deportations, tariff hikes on imports, and cabinet confirmation battles. Approval dipped from 47% post-inauguration highs to the low 40s in the past two weeks, driven by voter concerns over inflation risks, stock market volatility following trade war signals, and divided reactions to agency overhauls like DOGE efficiency cuts. The closely trailing 40.0–40.4% bin at 35.5% underscores uncertainty ahead of potential mid-March economic data releases and congressional pushback, with higher bins dismissed due to persistent partisan gaps and no major rebound catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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