Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas

$150,498 Vol.

Polymarket

$150,498 Vol.

Market icon

Republicano

$83,272 Vol.

56%

Market icon

Demócrata

$67,226 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election against the winner of the Republican runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent GOP runoff polls, including Quantus Insights (March 22, Paxton 49%-41%) and a March 28 CPAC straw poll (Paxton 67%-21%), show Paxton gaining momentum amid intraparty divisions. General election surveys remain competitive, with RCP averages giving Cornyn a 2-point edge and Paxton a 1-point lead over Talarico, though Democrat-sponsored polls indicate narrower margins or slight Talarico advantages. Trader consensus at 56.5% Republican reflects Texas' GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base turnout in this battleground Senate race.

James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election against the winner of the Republican runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent GOP runoff polls, including Quantus Insights (March 22, Paxton 49%-41%) and a March 28 CPAC straw poll (Paxton 67%-21%), show Paxton gaining momentum amid intraparty divisions. General election surveys remain competitive, with RCP averages giving Cornyn a 2-point edge and Paxton a 1-point lead over Talarico, though Democrat-sponsored polls indicate narrower margins or slight Talarico advantages. Trader consensus at 56.5% Republican reflects Texas' GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base turnout in this battleground Senate race.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election against the winner of the Republican runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent GOP runoff polls, including Quantus Insights (March 22, Paxton 49%-41%) and a March 28 CPAC straw poll (Paxton 67%-21%), show Paxton gaining momentum amid intraparty divisions. General election surveys remain competitive, with RCP averages giving Cornyn a 2-point edge and Paxton a 1-point lead over Talarico, though Democrat-sponsored polls indicate narrower margins or slight Talarico advantages. Trader consensus at 56.5% Republican reflects Texas' GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base turnout in this battleground Senate race.

James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination in the March 3 primary, setting up a general election against the winner of the Republican runoff between incumbent John Cornyn and Attorney General Ken Paxton on May 26. Recent GOP runoff polls, including Quantus Insights (March 22, Paxton 49%-41%) and a March 28 CPAC straw poll (Paxton 67%-21%), show Paxton gaining momentum amid intraparty divisions. General election surveys remain competitive, with RCP averages giving Cornyn a 2-point edge and Paxton a 1-point lead over Talarico, though Democrat-sponsored polls indicate narrower margins or slight Talarico advantages. Trader consensus at 56.5% Republican reflects Texas' GOP lean, incumbency advantages if Cornyn prevails, and historical base turnout in this battleground Senate race.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Republicano" con 56%, seguido de "Demócrata" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas" ha generado $150.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas" es "Republicano" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Demócrata" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.