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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

Market icon
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas

May 26

May 26

Ken Paxton 69%

John Cornyn 30%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$12,891,443 Vol.

Ken Paxton 69%

John Cornyn 30%

Dawn Buckingham <1%

Beth Van Duyne <1%

Polymarket

$12,891,443 Vol.

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Ken Paxton

$4,015,765 Vol.

69%

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John Cornyn

$2,800,917 Vol.

30%

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Dawn Buckingham

$883,609 Vol.

<1%

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Beth Van Duyne

$3,448,245 Vol.

<1%

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Wesley Hunt

$1,742,924 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's 68.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status following his July 2024 campaign launch challenging three-term incumbent Senator John Cornyn, who trails at 29.5%. Paxton's acquittal in his 2023 impeachment trial and alignment with the GOP base have boosted his standing in recent internal polls showing him ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment support provide a path, but base skepticism over his bipartisan votes weighs on his odds. Minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt linger below 0.1% due to limited name recognition and resources ahead of the March 2026 primary.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's 68.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status following his July 2024 campaign launch challenging three-term incumbent Senator John Cornyn, who trails at 29.5%. Paxton's acquittal in his 2023 impeachment trial and alignment with the GOP base have boosted his standing in recent internal polls showing him ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment support provide a path, but base skepticism over his bipartisan votes weighs on his odds. Minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt linger below 0.1% due to limited name recognition and resources ahead of the March 2026 primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's 68.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status following his July 2024 campaign launch challenging three-term incumbent Senator John Cornyn, who trails at 29.5%. Paxton's acquittal in his 2023 impeachment trial and alignment with the GOP base have boosted his standing in recent internal polls showing him ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment support provide a path, but base skepticism over his bipartisan votes weighs on his odds. Minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt linger below 0.1% due to limited name recognition and resources ahead of the March 2026 primary.

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton's 68.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Republican primary for U.S. Senate reflects trader consensus on his frontrunner status following his July 2024 campaign launch challenging three-term incumbent Senator John Cornyn, who trails at 29.5%. Paxton's acquittal in his 2023 impeachment trial and alignment with the GOP base have boosted his standing in recent internal polls showing him ahead by double digits in head-to-head matchups. Cornyn's fundraising edge and establishment support provide a path, but base skepticism over his bipartisan votes weighs on his odds. Minor candidates like Dawn Buckingham, Beth Van Duyne, and Wesley Hunt linger below 0.1% due to limited name recognition and resources ahead of the March 2026 primary.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ken Paxton" con 69%, seguido de "John Cornyn" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 69¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" ha generado $12.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" es "Ken Paxton" con 69%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 69% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Cornyn" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Texas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.