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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

Market icon
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.4%

Marco Rubio 10.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.1%

Polymarket

$487,945,881 Vol.

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.4%

Marco Rubio 10.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 6.1%

Polymarket

$487,945,881 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,654,626 Vol.

18%

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Gavin Newsom

$9,248,179 Vol.

16%

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Marco Rubio

$5,482,629 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,562,654 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$3,169,318 Vol.

3%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Kamala Harris

$6,669,231 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,617,673 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,721,801 Vol.

2%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,422,998 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,530,896 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,975,519 Vol.

2%

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Título del grupo: Andy Beshear

$16,024,355 Vol.

1%

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JB Pritzker

$10,472,120 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,783,576 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,872,694 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,443,883 Vol.

1%

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Título del ítem del grupo: Elon Musk

$22,228,170 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,890,582 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,400,246 Vol.

1%

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Greg Abbott

$31,582,379 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,865,059 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,231,968 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,677,204 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$6,180,518 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,501,995 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,333,289 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,860,120 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$20,084,676 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,742,631 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,492,306 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$29,696,066 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,720,994 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,678,073 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$43,747,861 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,474,317 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$29,905,971 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6% implied probability, closely pursued by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16.4% and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.3%, amid a fragmented field with no declared candidates and primaries still distant. Vance's lead stems from his top finish in the March 2026 CPAC straw poll (53%) and dominance in early Republican surveys like JL Partners (53% preference), bolstered by his position as heir apparent to term-limited President Trump. Newsom gains from strong Democratic hypotheticals in California polling, while Rubio surges on foreign policy visibility, including Venezuela operations and donor "draft" efforts. The tight race reflects pre-midterm uncertainty, with 2026 election results, Trump's endorsements, and economic trends poised to create separation.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$487,945,881
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2028 presidential election at 17.6% implied probability, closely pursued by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16.4% and Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 10.3%, amid a fragmented field with no declared candidates and primaries still distant. Vance's lead stems from his top finish in the March 2026 CPAC straw poll (53%) and dominance in early Republican surveys like JL Partners (53% preference), bolstered by his position as heir apparent to term-limited President Trump. Newsom gains from strong Democratic hypotheticals in California polling, while Rubio surges on foreign policy visibility, including Venezuela operations and donor "draft" efforts. The tight race reflects pre-midterm uncertainty, with 2026 election results, Trump's endorsements, and economic trends poised to create separation.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volumen
$487,945,881
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 36 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "JD Vance" con 18%, seguido de "Gavin Newsom" con 16%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" ha generado $487.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028", explora los 36 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" es "JD Vance" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gavin Newsom" con 16%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.