Trader consensus prices BJP at 94.5% to win the Assam Legislative Assembly election following April 9 polling across all 126 seats, driven by pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voters projecting NDA 90-102 seats amid Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's sustained popularity from Orunodoi welfare schemes and development focus. Robust NDA alliances with AGP and BPF contrast fragmented opposition, with INC at 4.3% implied probability hampered by vote splits among AIUDF and others despite Muslim voter blocs. Record 85% turnout favors incumbents historically. Results due May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could alter outcomes, though polling margins indicate resilience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Legislativa de Assam
BJP 94.5%
INC 4.3%
CPI <1%
AITC <1%
$52,356 Vol.
$52,356 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
95%
INC
4%
CPI
<1%
AITC
<1%
CPI(M)
<1%
NCP
<1%
AIUDF
<1%
BPF
<1%
NPEP
<1%
AGP
<1%
BJP 94.5%
INC 4.3%
CPI <1%
AITC <1%
$52,356 Vol.
$52,356 Vol.
20 may 2026
BJP
$9,576 Vol.
95%
INC
$6,688 Vol.
4%
CPI
$6,763 Vol.
<1%
AITC
$4,112 Vol.
<1%
CPI(M)
$4,259 Vol.
<1%
NCP
$3,788 Vol.
<1%
AIUDF
$4,526 Vol.
<1%
BPF
$4,000 Vol.
<1%
NPEP
$4,475 Vol.
<1%
AGP
$4,171 Vol.
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus prices BJP at 94.5% to win the Assam Legislative Assembly election following April 9 polling across all 126 seats, driven by pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voters projecting NDA 90-102 seats amid Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's sustained popularity from Orunodoi welfare schemes and development focus. Robust NDA alliances with AGP and BPF contrast fragmented opposition, with INC at 4.3% implied probability hampered by vote splits among AIUDF and others despite Muslim voter blocs. Record 85% turnout favors incumbents historically. Results due May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could alter outcomes, though polling margins indicate resilience.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Mercado abierto: Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
Volumen
$52,356Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus prices BJP at 94.5% to win the Assam Legislative Assembly election following April 9 polling across all 126 seats, driven by pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voters projecting NDA 90-102 seats amid Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's sustained popularity from Orunodoi welfare schemes and development focus. Robust NDA alliances with AGP and BPF contrast fragmented opposition, with INC at 4.3% implied probability hampered by vote splits among AIUDF and others despite Muslim voter blocs. Record 85% turnout favors incumbents historically. Results due May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could alter outcomes, though polling margins indicate resilience.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volumen
$52,356Fecha de finalización
9 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices BJP at 94.5% to win the Assam Legislative Assembly election following April 9 polling across all 126 seats, driven by pre-poll surveys like Matrize and C-Voters projecting NDA 90-102 seats amid Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's sustained popularity from Orunodoi welfare schemes and development focus. Robust NDA alliances with AGP and BPF contrast fragmented opposition, with INC at 4.3% implied probability hampered by vote splits among AIUDF and others despite Muslim voter blocs. Record 85% turnout favors incumbents historically. Results due May 4; rare disruptions like EVM discrepancies or legal challenges could alter outcomes, though polling margins indicate resilience.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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