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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

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Política·Elecciones Globales

Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú

Rafael López Aliaga 25%

Carlos Álvarez 23.4%

Keiko Fujimori 21%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.5%

Polymarket

$5,645,297 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 25%

Carlos Álvarez 23.4%

Keiko Fujimori 21%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 13.5%

Polymarket

$5,645,297 Vol.

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Rafael López Aliaga

$746,295 Vol.

25%

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Carlos Álvarez

$206,424 Vol.

23%

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Keiko Fujimori

$307,183 Vol.

21%

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Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$423,158 Vol.

14%

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Alfonso López Chau

$316,431 Vol.

6%

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Ricardo Belmont

$290,777 Vol.

5%

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Jorge Nieto

$773,213 Vol.

3%

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Carlos Espá

$172,049 Vol.

1%

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Yonhy Lescano

$214,372 Vol.

1%

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Marisol Pérez Tello

$251,068 Vol.

1%

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Mesías Guevara

$152,042 Vol.

<1%

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George Forsyth

$149,781 Vol.

<1%

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Wolfgang Grozo

$399,205 Vol.

<1%

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César Acuña

$127,922 Vol.

<1%

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Fernando Olivera

$121,487 Vol.

<1%

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Mario Vizcarra

$147,405 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Cerrón

$148,879 Vol.

<1%

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Roberto Chiabra

$83,205 Vol.

<1%

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Enrique Valderrama

$173,579 Vol.

<1%

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José Luna

$114,726 Vol.

<1%

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José Williams

$77,046 Vol.

<1%

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Fiorella Molinelli

$112,020 Vol.

<1%

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Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$137,150 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election eight days away, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented 35-candidate field keeping frontrunners Rafael López Aliaga (24.5%), Carlos Álvarez (22.4%), and Keiko Fujimori (21.0%) in a statistical dead heat, as no poll shows any exceeding 13% amid high undecided voters. Recent final televised debates concluded April 1 without a breakout performer, while post-debate surveys like CIT (March 30-April 1) affirm López Aliaga's slim lead at 13% over Fujimori's 11%, with Álvarez surging in northern regions on security pledges. Regional turnout, last-minute endorsements, or scandals could propel one to the likely runoff, underscoring the race's volatility driven by public distrust in institutions and crime concerns.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$5,645,297
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) With Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election eight days away, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a fragmented 35-candidate field keeping frontrunners Rafael López Aliaga (24.5%), Carlos Álvarez (22.4%), and Keiko Fujimori (21.0%) in a statistical dead heat, as no poll shows any exceeding 13% amid high undecided voters. Recent final televised debates concluded April 1 without a breakout performer, while post-debate surveys like CIT (March 30-April 1) affirm López Aliaga's slim lead at 13% over Fujimori's 11%, with Álvarez surging in northern regions on security pledges. Regional turnout, last-minute endorsements, or scandals could propel one to the likely runoff, underscoring the race's volatility driven by public distrust in institutions and crime concerns.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volumen
$5,645,297
Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 25%, seguido de "Carlos Álvarez" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 25¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" ha generado $5.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 16, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" es "Rafael López Aliaga" con 25%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 25% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Carlos Álvarez" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.