Trader consensus heavily favors former CIA case officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy at 71.5% implied probability to win the OH-01 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his national security credentials appealing to GOP voters in the redrawn district, endorsement from Sen. Bernie Moreno, and leading fundraising of $603,000 as of late 2025. Dentist and small business owner Steven Erbeck holds 15.5% with comparable cash-on-hand at $464,000, positioning him as the main challenger amid no public polls. Nonprofit leaders Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (11%) and Holly Adams (10%) lag due to minimal fundraising under $50,000. Recent candidate profiles highlight Conroy's disciplined leadership edge, with the new Republican-leaning map boosting general election prospects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoOH-01 Republican Primary Winner
OH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Eric Conroy 73%
Steven Erbeck 15%
Holly Adams 5%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 5%
$11,820 Vol.
$11,820 Vol.
Eric Conroy
73%
Steven Erbeck
15%
Holly Adams
5%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry
5%
Eric Conroy 73%
Steven Erbeck 15%
Holly Adams 5%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 5%
$11,820 Vol.
$11,820 Vol.
Eric Conroy
73%
Steven Erbeck
15%
Holly Adams
5%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors former CIA case officer and Air Force veteran Eric Conroy at 71.5% implied probability to win the OH-01 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his national security credentials appealing to GOP voters in the redrawn district, endorsement from Sen. Bernie Moreno, and leading fundraising of $603,000 as of late 2025. Dentist and small business owner Steven Erbeck holds 15.5% with comparable cash-on-hand at $464,000, positioning him as the main challenger amid no public polls. Nonprofit leaders Rosemary Oglesby-Henry (11%) and Holly Adams (10%) lag due to minimal fundraising under $50,000. Recent candidate profiles highlight Conroy's disciplined leadership edge, with the new Republican-leaning map boosting general election prospects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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