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Elecciones·Colombia

# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?

Market icon
Elecciones·Colombia

# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?

24-26 93.8%

27-29 4.0%

21-23 1.0%

<18 <1%

Polymarket

$17,683 Vol.

24-26 93.8%

27-29 4.0%

21-23 1.0%

<18 <1%

Polymarket

$17,683 Vol.

<18

$0 Vol.

<1%

18-20

$0 Vol.

<1%

21-23

$0 Vol.

1%

24-26

$17,683 Vol.

94%

27-29

$0 Vol.

4%

Más de 30

$0 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections, with over 99% of voting tables counted, project the left-wing Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing 25 seats in the 108-seat Senate via its closed national list plus one indigenous curul, positioning it as the largest bloc without a majority. This outcome, confirmed across major outlets and near-final tallies from the Registraduría Nacional, drives trader consensus at 93.8% for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 4.4 million votes amid polarized turnout near 48%. PH gained seats from 2022 but fell short of dominance against resurgent Centro Democrático (17 seats). Realistic challenges include final certification adjustments, ongoing recounts in tight races, or special seat reallocations before official proclamation, potentially shifting to 27-29 or lower. Presidential primaries in May loom as contextual influence.

Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections, with over 99% of voting tables counted, project the left-wing Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing 25 seats in the 108-seat Senate via its closed national list plus one indigenous curul, positioning it as the largest bloc without a majority. This outcome, confirmed across major outlets and near-final tallies from the Registraduría Nacional, drives trader consensus at 93.8% for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 4.4 million votes amid polarized turnout near 48%. PH gained seats from 2022 but fell short of dominance against resurgent Centro Democrático (17 seats). Realistic challenges include final certification adjustments, ongoing recounts in tight races, or special seat reallocations before official proclamation, potentially shifting to 27-29 or lower. Presidential primaries in May loom as contextual influence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections, with over 99% of voting tables counted, project the left-wing Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing 25 seats in the 108-seat Senate via its closed national list plus one indigenous curul, positioning it as the largest bloc without a majority. This outcome, confirmed across major outlets and near-final tallies from the Registraduría Nacional, drives trader consensus at 93.8% for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 4.4 million votes amid polarized turnout near 48%. PH gained seats from 2022 but fell short of dominance against resurgent Centro Democrático (17 seats). Realistic challenges include final certification adjustments, ongoing recounts in tight races, or special seat reallocations before official proclamation, potentially shifting to 27-29 or lower. Presidential primaries in May loom as contextual influence.

Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, legislative elections, with over 99% of voting tables counted, project the left-wing Pacto Histórico (PH) coalition securing 25 seats in the 108-seat Senate via its closed national list plus one indigenous curul, positioning it as the largest bloc without a majority. This outcome, confirmed across major outlets and near-final tallies from the Registraduría Nacional, drives trader consensus at 93.8% for 24-26 seats, reflecting PH's 4.4 million votes amid polarized turnout near 48%. PH gained seats from 2022 but fell short of dominance against resurgent Centro Democrático (17 seats). Realistic challenges include final certification adjustments, ongoing recounts in tight races, or special seat reallocations before official proclamation, potentially shifting to 27-29 or lower. Presidential primaries in May loom as contextual influence.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "24-26" con 94%, seguido de "27-29" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" ha generado $17.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" es "24-26" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "27-29" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.