Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary election, with over 96% of mesas escrutadas, project Pacto Histórico securing 25 Senate seats out of 102 in the national circumscription, cementing its position as the largest bloc via proportional representation despite no outright majority. Strong performances in Bogotá (8 curules) and other regions, aligning with pre-election polls forecasting 22-25 seats, have driven trader consensus to 93.8% on 24-26, reflecting PH's 20-22% vote share amid 48% turnout. Final certification by the National Registry could adjust tallies from remaining votes or disputes, potentially shifting to 27-29 or 21-23, though advanced scrutiny limits major changes. Presidential consultations on May 31 may influence the additional runner-up seat but not PH's core allocation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?
# de escaños ganados por PH en las elecciones al Senado de Colombia?
24-26 93.8%
27-29 4.0%
21-23 1.0%
<18 <1%
$17,683 Vol.
$17,683 Vol.
<18
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
1%
24-26
94%
27-29
4%
Más de 30
<1%
24-26 93.8%
27-29 4.0%
21-23 1.0%
<18 <1%
$17,683 Vol.
$17,683 Vol.
<18
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
1%
24-26
94%
27-29
4%
Más de 30
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary election, with over 96% of mesas escrutadas, project Pacto Histórico securing 25 Senate seats out of 102 in the national circumscription, cementing its position as the largest bloc via proportional representation despite no outright majority. Strong performances in Bogotá (8 curules) and other regions, aligning with pre-election polls forecasting 22-25 seats, have driven trader consensus to 93.8% on 24-26, reflecting PH's 20-22% vote share amid 48% turnout. Final certification by the National Registry could adjust tallies from remaining votes or disputes, potentially shifting to 27-29 or 21-23, though advanced scrutiny limits major changes. Presidential consultations on May 31 may influence the additional runner-up seat but not PH's core allocation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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