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Elecciones·Primarias

NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

John Cavanaugh 85%

Denise Powell 9%

Evangelos Argyrakis 5.6%

Mark Johnston 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

John Cavanaugh 85%

Denise Powell 9%

Evangelos Argyrakis 5.6%

Mark Johnston 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

John Cavanaugh

$3,186 Vol.

85%

Denise Powell

$184 Vol.

9%

Evangelos Argyrakis

$235 Vol.

6%

Mark Johnston

$1,435 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh commands trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his lead in a January GBAO poll of likely voters (43% to Crystal Rhoades' 15% and Denise Powell's 10%, with 24% undecided) and multiple internal surveys showing similar double-digit advantages amid a crowded field of six filed candidates. His name recognition from legislative service, family congressional legacy, and endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and former Gov. Ben Nelson bolster his frontrunner status in this open seat race following Rep. Don Bacon's retirement. Powell holds 9% on strong fundraising ($625,000 cash on hand end-2025), while Evangelos Argyrakis (5.5%) and withdrawn Mark Johnston (2.8%) trail due to limited polls and resources, with undecideds and vote splitting key variables ahead of early voting.

State Sen. John Cavanaugh commands trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his lead in a January GBAO poll of likely voters (43% to Crystal Rhoades' 15% and Denise Powell's 10%, with 24% undecided) and multiple internal surveys showing similar double-digit advantages amid a crowded field of six filed candidates. His name recognition from legislative service, family congressional legacy, and endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and former Gov. Ben Nelson bolster his frontrunner status in this open seat race following Rep. Don Bacon's retirement. Powell holds 9% on strong fundraising ($625,000 cash on hand end-2025), while Evangelos Argyrakis (5.5%) and withdrawn Mark Johnston (2.8%) trail due to limited polls and resources, with undecideds and vote splitting key variables ahead of early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Sen. John Cavanaugh commands trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his lead in a January GBAO poll of likely voters (43% to Crystal Rhoades' 15% and Denise Powell's 10%, with 24% undecided) and multiple internal surveys showing similar double-digit advantages amid a crowded field of six filed candidates. His name recognition from legislative service, family congressional legacy, and endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and former Gov. Ben Nelson bolster his frontrunner status in this open seat race following Rep. Don Bacon's retirement. Powell holds 9% on strong fundraising ($625,000 cash on hand end-2025), while Evangelos Argyrakis (5.5%) and withdrawn Mark Johnston (2.8%) trail due to limited polls and resources, with undecideds and vote splitting key variables ahead of early voting.

State Sen. John Cavanaugh commands trader consensus at 85% implied probability to win Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary on May 12, driven by his lead in a January GBAO poll of likely voters (43% to Crystal Rhoades' 15% and Denise Powell's 10%, with 24% undecided) and multiple internal surveys showing similar double-digit advantages amid a crowded field of six filed candidates. His name recognition from legislative service, family congressional legacy, and endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and former Gov. Ben Nelson bolster his frontrunner status in this open seat race following Rep. Don Bacon's retirement. Powell holds 9% on strong fundraising ($625,000 cash on hand end-2025), while Evangelos Argyrakis (5.5%) and withdrawn Mark Johnston (2.8%) trail due to limited polls and resources, with undecideds and vote splitting key variables ahead of early voting.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "John Cavanaugh" con 85%, seguido de "Denise Powell" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "John Cavanaugh" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Denise Powell" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "NE-02 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.