Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican U.S. Senate primary, with trader consensus implying a 91% probability of victory on August 4, driven by his Trump endorsement from mid-2025, National Republican Senatorial Committee support, and dominant showings in recent polling averages like those from Race to the White House as of late March. Superior fundraising and high name recognition from prior campaigns further cement his position against a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers including Kent Benham, Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith, who collectively hold slim odds. While entrenched, odds could shift via a late high-profile entrant, adverse scandal, or erosion in GOP primary voter enthusiasm ahead of the nomination.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMike Rogers 91%
Kent Benham 4.9%
Andrew Kamal 2.5%
Fred Heurtebise 1.9%
Mike Rogers
91%
Kent Benham
5%
Andrew Kamal
3%
Fred Heurtebise
2%
Genevieve Scott
1%
Bernadette Smith
1%
Mike Rogers 91%
Kent Benham 4.9%
Andrew Kamal 2.5%
Fred Heurtebise 1.9%
Mike Rogers
91%
Kent Benham
5%
Andrew Kamal
3%
Fred Heurtebise
2%
Genevieve Scott
1%
Bernadette Smith
1%
If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Republican Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers holds a commanding lead in the Michigan Republican U.S. Senate primary, with trader consensus implying a 91% probability of victory on August 4, driven by his Trump endorsement from mid-2025, National Republican Senatorial Committee support, and dominant showings in recent polling averages like those from Race to the White House as of late March. Superior fundraising and high name recognition from prior campaigns further cement his position against a fragmented field of lesser-known challengers including Kent Benham, Andrew Kamal, Fred Heurtebise, Genevieve Scott, and Bernadette Smith, who collectively hold slim odds. While entrenched, odds could shift via a late high-profile entrant, adverse scandal, or erosion in GOP primary voter enthusiasm ahead of the nomination.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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