Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11

Market icon
Elecciones·Primarias

Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11

Jeremy Moss 80%

Andy Levin 8%

Aisha Farooqi 4.5%

Dave Woodward 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jeremy Moss 80%

Andy Levin 8%

Aisha Farooqi 4.5%

Dave Woodward 2.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Jeremy Moss

$1,538 Vol.

80%

Andy Levin

$2,643 Vol.

8%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,467 Vol.

4%

Dave Woodward

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 79.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the open Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising—$781,000 raised and $510,000 cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing rivals—and key endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and labor groups like the Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters. As state senator representing much of the district, Moss benefits from incumbency advantages and legislative experience in this solidly Democratic seat vacated by Haley Stevens's Senate bid. No public polls exist, leaving skin-in-the-game market pricing to reflect early momentum; former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin trails at 7.5% on name recognition from his 2022 primary run here, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag amid a crowded field.

Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 79.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the open Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising—$781,000 raised and $510,000 cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing rivals—and key endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and labor groups like the Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters. As state senator representing much of the district, Moss benefits from incumbency advantages and legislative experience in this solidly Democratic seat vacated by Haley Stevens's Senate bid. No public polls exist, leaving skin-in-the-game market pricing to reflect early momentum; former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin trails at 7.5% on name recognition from his 2022 primary run here, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag amid a crowded field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 79.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the open Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising—$781,000 raised and $510,000 cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing rivals—and key endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and labor groups like the Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters. As state senator representing much of the district, Moss benefits from incumbency advantages and legislative experience in this solidly Democratic seat vacated by Haley Stevens's Senate bid. No public polls exist, leaving skin-in-the-game market pricing to reflect early momentum; former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin trails at 7.5% on name recognition from his 2022 primary run here, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag amid a crowded field.

Jeremy Moss holds a commanding 79.5% trader consensus as the frontrunner in the open Michigan's 11th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his dominant fundraising—$781,000 raised and $510,000 cash on hand through December 2025, far outpacing rivals—and key endorsements from Governor Gretchen Whitmer and labor groups like the Michigan Regional Council of Carpenters. As state senator representing much of the district, Moss benefits from incumbency advantages and legislative experience in this solidly Democratic seat vacated by Haley Stevens's Senate bid. No public polls exist, leaving skin-in-the-game market pricing to reflect early momentum; former U.S. Rep. Andy Levin trails at 7.5% on name recognition from his 2022 primary run here, while Aisha Farooqi (4.5%) and Oakland County Commissioner Dave Woodward (2.8%) lag amid a crowded field.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jeremy Moss" con 80%, seguido de "Andy Levin" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Nov 25, 2025. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" es "Jeremy Moss" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Andy Levin" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias demócratas del MI-11" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.