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Política·Alcalde

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Market icon
Política·Alcalde

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Karen Bass 41%

Nithya Raman 37%

Spencer Pratt 11%

Rae Huang 3.3%

Polymarket

$687,058 Vol.

Karen Bass 41%

Nithya Raman 37%

Spencer Pratt 11%

Rae Huang 3.3%

Polymarket

$687,058 Vol.

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Karen Bass

$21,295 Vol.

41%

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Nithya Raman

$3,576 Vol.

37%

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Spencer Pratt

$23,072 Vol.

11%

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Rae Huang

$9,380 Vol.

3%

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Gina Viola

$75,420 Vol.

2%

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Adam Miller

$81,285 Vol.

1%

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Rick Caruso

$423,662 Vol.

1%

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Asaad Alnajjar

$27,715 Vol.

1%

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Austin Beutner

$4,929 Vol.

<1%

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Monica Rodriguez

$2,240 Vol.

<1%

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Lindsey Horvath

$14,484 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a slim lead in the Los Angeles mayoral race at 40.5% trader consensus, just ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 37%, reflecting a tight primary contest ahead of the June 2 vote where top two advance to November runoff. A recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll underscores the dynamics, showing Bass at 20-25% support amid 51% undecided voters and 56% unfavorability driven by ongoing homelessness crisis, rising housing costs, and public safety concerns during her term. Raman, a progressive former Bass ally who entered late in February, has surged with momentum from recent debates and DSA-backed pledges on harm reduction and services, keeping the field fragmented among 13 candidates including Spencer Pratt at 10.5%. Separation could come from endorsements, Inside Safe program outcomes, or voter turnout in key districts.

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a slim lead in the Los Angeles mayoral race at 40.5% trader consensus, just ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 37%, reflecting a tight primary contest ahead of the June 2 vote where top two advance to November runoff. A recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll underscores the dynamics, showing Bass at 20-25% support amid 51% undecided voters and 56% unfavorability driven by ongoing homelessness crisis, rising housing costs, and public safety concerns during her term. Raman, a progressive former Bass ally who entered late in February, has surged with momentum from recent debates and DSA-backed pledges on harm reduction and services, keeping the field fragmented among 13 candidates including Spencer Pratt at 10.5%. Separation could come from endorsements, Inside Safe program outcomes, or voter turnout in key districts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a slim lead in the Los Angeles mayoral race at 40.5% trader consensus, just ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 37%, reflecting a tight primary contest ahead of the June 2 vote where top two advance to November runoff. A recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll underscores the dynamics, showing Bass at 20-25% support amid 51% undecided voters and 56% unfavorability driven by ongoing homelessness crisis, rising housing costs, and public safety concerns during her term. Raman, a progressive former Bass ally who entered late in February, has surged with momentum from recent debates and DSA-backed pledges on harm reduction and services, keeping the field fragmented among 13 candidates including Spencer Pratt at 10.5%. Separation could come from endorsements, Inside Safe program outcomes, or voter turnout in key districts.

Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass holds a slim lead in the Los Angeles mayoral race at 40.5% trader consensus, just ahead of City Councilmember Nithya Raman at 37%, reflecting a tight primary contest ahead of the June 2 vote where top two advance to November runoff. A recent LA Times/Berkeley IGS poll underscores the dynamics, showing Bass at 20-25% support amid 51% undecided voters and 56% unfavorability driven by ongoing homelessness crisis, rising housing costs, and public safety concerns during her term. Raman, a progressive former Bass ally who entered late in February, has surged with momentum from recent debates and DSA-backed pledges on harm reduction and services, keeping the field fragmented among 13 candidates including Spencer Pratt at 10.5%. Separation could come from endorsements, Inside Safe program outcomes, or voter turnout in key districts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Karen Bass" con 41%, seguido de "Nithya Raman" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" ha generado $687.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es "Karen Bass" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nithya Raman" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.