Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces no active judicial investigations, arrest warrants, or credible allegations from Spanish courts or the Public Prosecutor's Office that could lead to detention by March 31, anchoring trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." The past 30 days show zero developments—such as indictments, raids, or official probes—elevating his legal risk, with his post-2011 tenure as a PSOE elder statesman marked by routine political activity rather than scandal. High evidentiary standards for prosecuting ex-leaders, absent concrete charges, sustain this positioning. Rare shifts might arise from sudden revelations like corruption probes or international extradition requests, but these lack current substantiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSí
$139,766 Vol.
$139,766 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Sí
$139,766 Vol.
$139,766 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of Spain José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces no active judicial investigations, arrest warrants, or credible allegations from Spanish courts or the Public Prosecutor's Office that could lead to detention by March 31, anchoring trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." The past 30 days show zero developments—such as indictments, raids, or official probes—elevating his legal risk, with his post-2011 tenure as a PSOE elder statesman marked by routine political activity rather than scandal. High evidentiary standards for prosecuting ex-leaders, absent concrete charges, sustain this positioning. Rare shifts might arise from sudden revelations like corruption probes or international extradition requests, but these lack current substantiation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of Spain José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Volumen
$139,766Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of Spain José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces no active judicial investigations, arrest warrants, or credible allegations from Spanish courts or the Public Prosecutor's Office that could lead to detention by March 31, anchoring trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." The past 30 days show zero developments—such as indictments, raids, or official probes—elevating his legal risk, with his post-2011 tenure as a PSOE elder statesman marked by routine political activity rather than scandal. High evidentiary standards for prosecuting ex-leaders, absent concrete charges, sustain this positioning. Rare shifts might arise from sudden revelations like corruption probes or international extradition requests, but these lack current substantiation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former president of Spain José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero is arrested or detained by law enforcement by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$139,766Fecha de finalización
Mar 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero faces no active judicial investigations, arrest warrants, or credible allegations from Spanish courts or the Public Prosecutor's Office that could lead to detention by March 31, anchoring trader consensus at 99.4% for "No." The past 30 days show zero developments—such as indictments, raids, or official probes—elevating his legal risk, with his post-2011 tenure as a PSOE elder statesman marked by routine political activity rather than scandal. High evidentiary standards for prosecuting ex-leaders, absent concrete charges, sustain this positioning. Rare shifts might arise from sudden revelations like corruption probes or international extradition requests, but these lack current substantiation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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