The US-Israel-Iran conflict, ignited by late February airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting Iranian nuclear and missile sites, persists into its sixth week with fresh escalations including a US F-15 jet downed over Iran on April 3—one crew rescued—and April 4 strikes on a Tehran university and Iranian bridge, prompting Iranian vows of fierce retaliation. Iran has fired missile barrages at Israel and Gulf states, while over 50,000 US troops, including Marines and the 82nd Airborne, deploy amid Pentagon invasion planning. Diplomatic bids collapsed yesterday as Tehran rejected a US-backed 48-hour truce, following earlier failed 15-point plans and Pakistani mediation. UN Security Council proposals loom as traders eye Hormuz Strait risks and multi-front spillover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿El conflicto Irán x Israel/Estados Unidos termina con...?
¿El conflicto Irán x Israel/Estados Unidos termina con...?
$13,827,806 Vol.
7 abr 2026
15 de abril
4%
7 de abril
1%
30 de abril
15%
15 de mayo
29%
30 de junio
56%
31 de diciembre
82%
$13,827,806 Vol.
15 de abril
$2,090,037 Vol.
4%
7 de abril
$1,212,010 Vol.
1%
30 de abril
$1,473,940 Vol.
15%
15 de mayo
$1,919,447 Vol.
29%
30 de junio
$1,390,806 Vol.
56%
31 de diciembre
$580,474 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel-Iran conflict, ignited by late February airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting Iranian nuclear and missile sites, persists into its sixth week with fresh escalations including a US F-15 jet downed over Iran on April 3—one crew rescued—and April 4 strikes on a Tehran university and Iranian bridge, prompting Iranian vows of fierce retaliation. Iran has fired missile barrages at Israel and Gulf states, while over 50,000 US troops, including Marines and the 82nd Airborne, deploy amid Pentagon invasion planning. Diplomatic bids collapsed yesterday as Tehran rejected a US-backed 48-hour truce, following earlier failed 15-point plans and Pakistani mediation. UN Security Council proposals loom as traders eye Hormuz Strait risks and multi-front spillover.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 1:49 PM ET
Volumen
$13,827,806Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.The US-Israel-Iran conflict, ignited by late February airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting Iranian nuclear and missile sites, persists into its sixth week with fresh escalations including a US F-15 jet downed over Iran on April 3—one crew rescued—and April 4 strikes on a Tehran university and Iranian bridge, prompting Iranian vows of fierce retaliation. Iran has fired missile barrages at Israel and Gulf states, while over 50,000 US troops, including Marines and the 82nd Airborne, deploy amid Pentagon invasion planning. Diplomatic bids collapsed yesterday as Tehran rejected a US-backed 48-hour truce, following earlier failed 15-point plans and Pakistani mediation. UN Security Council proposals loom as traders eye Hormuz Strait risks and multi-front spillover.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran, and Israel and the United States that begins at any time between market creation and the specified end date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
The 14-day period may begin at any time between the creation of this market and the specified end date (ET), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.
A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran, or Israel and the United States against the other’s soil, or official embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.
Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.
Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel or the US by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count.
Volumen
$13,827,806Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US-Israel-Iran conflict, ignited by late February airstrikes killing Supreme Leader Khamenei and targeting Iranian nuclear and missile sites, persists into its sixth week with fresh escalations including a US F-15 jet downed over Iran on April 3—one crew rescued—and April 4 strikes on a Tehran university and Iranian bridge, prompting Iranian vows of fierce retaliation. Iran has fired missile barrages at Israel and Gulf states, while over 50,000 US troops, including Marines and the 82nd Airborne, deploy amid Pentagon invasion planning. Diplomatic bids collapsed yesterday as Tehran rejected a US-backed 48-hour truce, following earlier failed 15-point plans and Pakistani mediation. UN Security Council proposals loom as traders eye Hormuz Strait risks and multi-front spillover.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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