Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17 primary solidified his path to a third term, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democrat in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022 by 14 points. Illinois' strong Democratic lean—no Republican governor since 1994—and Chicago's dominant voter base underpin this positioning, reinforced by an early Victory Research poll showing Pritzker ahead 54%-34%. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from Pritzker scandals, economic downturns amplifying tax and crime concerns, or a national Republican wave boosting Bailey's downstate support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
94%
Republicano
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Demócrata
$0 Vol.
94%
Republicano
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17 primary solidified his path to a third term, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democrat in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022 by 14 points. Illinois' strong Democratic lean—no Republican governor since 1994—and Chicago's dominant voter base underpin this positioning, reinforced by an early Victory Research poll showing Pritzker ahead 54%-34%. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from Pritzker scandals, economic downturns amplifying tax and crime concerns, or a national Republican wave boosting Bailey's downstate support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17 primary solidified his path to a third term, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democrat in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022 by 14 points. Illinois' strong Democratic lean—no Republican governor since 1994—and Chicago's dominant voter base underpin this positioning, reinforced by an early Victory Research poll showing Pritzker ahead 54%-34%. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from Pritzker scandals, economic downturns amplifying tax and crime concerns, or a national Republican wave boosting Bailey's downstate support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker's unopposed victory in the March 17 primary solidified his path to a third term, driving trader consensus to 93.5% for the Democrat in the November 3 general election rematch against Republican Darren Bailey, whom Pritzker defeated decisively in 2022 by 14 points. Illinois' strong Democratic lean—no Republican governor since 1994—and Chicago's dominant voter base underpin this positioning, reinforced by an early Victory Research poll showing Pritzker ahead 54%-34%. While probabilities exceed 90%, shifts could arise from Pritzker scandals, economic downturns amplifying tax and crime concerns, or a national Republican wave boosting Bailey's downstate support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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