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Política·Trump

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?

100+ minutos 100.0%

<60 minutos <1%

60-70 minutos <1%

70-80 minutos <1%

Polymarket

$963,775 Vol.

100+ minutos 100.0%

<60 minutos <1%

60-70 minutos <1%

70-80 minutos <1%

Polymarket

$963,775 Vol.

<60 minutos

$124,678 Vol.

No

60-70 minutos

$90,195 Vol.

No

70-80 minutos

$88,604 Vol.

No

80-90 minutos

$137,062 Vol.

No

90-100 minutos

$126,773 Vol.

No

100+ minutos

$396,463 Vol.

Sí

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address.

The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Volumen
$963,775
Fecha de finalización
Feb 24, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 2:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24, 2026. This market will resolve based on the length of time of Donald Trump's 2026 State of the Union address. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during the State of the Union address until the moment he finishes his address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the 2026 State of the Union address is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "100+ minutos" con 100%, seguido de "<60 minutos" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" ha generado $963.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 17, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" es "100+ minutos" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<60 minutos" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuánto tiempo durará el discurso del Estado de la Unión?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.