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Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

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Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?

4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
4% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official announcements, nominations, or credible reports of Condoleezza Rice entering the Trump administration lineup despite her advisory White House visit on March 6 amid U.S.-Iran escalations, where she publicly urged "finishing the job." With key cabinet roles filled over a year into the term and Rice entrenched as Hoover Institution director, recent developments like her February 2025 DHS meeting with Kristi Noem have yielded no on-field commitments. Only 29 days remain before the April 30 deadline; a realistic shift would require an abrupt vacancy, swift Senate confirmation, or surprise trade—scenarios with scant historical precedent in late-term front-office moves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,636
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any official announcements, nominations, or credible reports of Condoleezza Rice entering the Trump administration lineup despite her advisory White House visit on March 6 amid U.S.-Iran escalations, where she publicly urged "finishing the job." With key cabinet roles filled over a year into the term and Rice entrenched as Hoover Institution director, recent developments like her February 2025 DHS meeting with Kristi Noem have yielded no on-field commitments. Only 29 days remain before the April 30 deadline; a realistic shift would require an abrupt vacancy, swift Senate confirmation, or surprise trade—scenarios with scant historical precedent in late-term front-office moves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,636
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 4% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 4¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 11, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?" es 4% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.