Market icon
Política·Semana Santa

¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?

Market icon
Política·Semana Santa

¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?

Sí

20% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

20% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed yesterday that President Trump will host a formal Easter lunch in the East Room tomorrow with over 100 faith leaders nationwide to mark Holy Week, emphasizing prayer and the Christian celebration of Jesus Christ's resurrection. Despite Trump's signature dance moves at recent political events, including the NRCC dinner last week and speeches earlier this month, traders price "No" at 84.5% implied probability, viewing the reverent context of this White House gathering—consistent with prior Holy Week prayer services—as highly unlikely to feature such performance. No official hints or agenda items suggest dancing, with the Easter Egg Roll family event set for April 6.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Volumen
$815
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed yesterday that President Trump will host a formal Easter lunch in the East Room tomorrow with over 100 faith leaders nationwide to mark Holy Week, emphasizing prayer and the Christian celebration of Jesus Christ's resurrection. Despite Trump's signature dance moves at recent political events, including the NRCC dinner last week and speeches earlier this month, traders price "No" at 84.5% implied probability, viewing the reverent context of this White House gathering—consistent with prior Holy Week prayer services—as highly unlikely to feature such performance. No official hints or agenda items suggest dancing, with the Easter Egg Roll family event set for April 6.

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

This market will resolve according to footage of the event.
Volumen
$815
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 4:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in an Easter lunch with faith leaders on April 1, 2026. (https://x.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2038669518461935955). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances during the Easter lunch on April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. This market will resolve according to footage of the event.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?" con 15%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 15¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 15% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?" es "¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?" con 15%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 15% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Bailará Trump durante el almuerzo de Pascua el 1 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.